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Here's how well
we did with our bets during Big Brother 9
We did really well during Big Brother 9, simply by
following public opinion once again and not placing
too many losing bets along the way. Having won nearly
£1000 by the final week of the series, we risked
over half of it in the last few days of the game and
ended-up clearing almost £1900 all told.
If you followed our lead and had a gamble during Big
Brother 9, however big or small, we hope it paid-off
for you too. And if you didn't get involved, you know
what to do this year!
Overall Result: won £2076, lost £200,
making for a Total Net Profit during Big Brother 9 of
£1876.
Monday, 1st September 2008 (Day 89)
In the final week of the series, we placed a number
of bets which were frankly a bit risky seeing as the
outcome of the series was rather uncertain, even at
that late stage of the game. Here's what we did:
Staked £320 on Rachel Rice to
Win Big Brother 9 at the odds of 5/2 for a potential
profit of £800, and staked £150 on there
being a Female Winner at 6/4, for a
potential profit of £225. We also made a couple
of side bets, which turned-out to be a waste of money,
but hey ho. These were: a £70 stake on Rex
Newmark to Win at 7/1 for a potential profit
of £490, and £50 on Sara Folino
to Win at 11/2 for a potential profit of £275.
The latter bets were 'just in case', and obviously we
knew that we couldn't win all of the bets we'd
placed. Basically, if Rex (who came 4th) had won the
series, we'd have suffered a small but tolerable loss
of £30; if Sara (who came 3rd) had gone all the
way, we would made a moderate profit of £110.
However, we were really counting on Rachel winning Big
Brother 9, and when she did, we won the £800 mentioned
above. We also got our stakes back for those two bets.
We were sweating for a while though, because we hadn't
even backed eventual Runner-up Mikey (Michael), partly
because his odds were incredibly low towards the end
of the series, and partly because no Poll anywhere on
the internet suggested that he would win. In other words,
we thought the bookies were wrong by making him the
favourite, and it seems that we were right. Result:
£800 profit + £225 profit + £70 loss
+ £50 loss = net profit of £905.
Monday, 1st September 2008 (Day 89)
The public had been voting for a winner since the Friday
night, and fans knew that there'd be a surprise Double
Eviction the following Tuesday. So, seeing as two-out-of
seven people would be going, it wasn't entirely clearcut
but nevertheless we staked a relatively small amount,
£150, on Mo/ Mohamed Mohamed
and Kat/ Kathreya Kasisopa becoming
the 12th and 13th Evictees at odds of 8/13. Polls had
given us a good idea what might happen, and our bet
came right when that pair were evicted the following
day. Result: £92
profit.
Tuesday, 19th August 2008 (Day 76)
When the nominees were announced and it was obvious
that Nicole Cammack could never survive
against Lisa Appleton and Sara Folino. So, as it was
such a certainty, we staked £1000 on the blonde
to go, and were rather surprised that bookies were offering
the relatively decent odds of 1/8 (you stake £8
to make £1 profit). Nicole's odds subsequently
went down to 1/100 on the Friday morning, and then to
1/500 just before the eviction i.e. if you staked £1000
you'd make just £2 profit, so basically the bookies
thought it impossible that she might stay in the end.
We expected Nicole to get around 80% in the public vote,
but she was evicted with a massive 94% at the 10th Eviction,
which consequently made us £125 (plus our stake
back). Result: £125
profit.
Wednesday, 13th August 2008 (Day 70)
The nominees had been announced the day before (it was
Rachel Rice vs Stuart Pilkington) and it quickly became
obvious that Rachel would survive. So, we put £600
on Stuart Pilkington to go at the odds
of 1/8, and won a profit of £75 (plus our stake
back) when he was evicted with 59% of the vote on the
Friday night. Our Poll said 63%. Result:
£75 profit.
Wednesday, 6th August 2008 (Day 63)
The bookies 8th Eviction market didn't go live when
the nominees were announced, but by the time it did
the following day, we had a good idea that Stuart Pilkington
would probably survive. As the odds were low (1/14)
we had to stake a lot of money to make it worthwhile,
sot we put 'a bag of sand' on Dale Howard
becoming the 8th Evictee of Big Brother 9. Our bet paid
off when he was evicted two days later, with 63% of
the vote. Result: £71
profit.
Thursday, 31st July 2008 (Day 57)
Things were different this week because the voting lines
were open on the Wednesday and Thursday only, rather
than the usual Tuesday to Friday period. The 7th Eviction
betting market was available for a brief period on the
Thursday, so we staked £300 on Luke Marsden
to go at the odds of 1/4 (£1 profit for every
£4 staked). Once again our main Poll was really
accurate, because Luke left the following day having
received 37% in the public vote (against eight other
people), and our Poll said 38%. Result
£75 profit.
Tuesday, 22nd July 2008 (Day 48)
The nominees for the 6th Eviction had been announced
earlier in the day, so in the evening we placed a £500
bet on Rebecca Shiner to go next at
odds of 1/4. We hadn't bet on the 'Belinda' eviction
the previous week, but were fairly sure from early Poll
results that Bex would go this week. And we were right,
because she got evicted with 65% of the vote even though
she was up-against two other nominees. Our Poll was
accurate to within 3% right from the start. Result:
£125 profit.
Friday, 18th July 2008 (Day 44)
Before the 5th Eviction had even taken place (Belinda
Harris-Reid was kicked-out later that
day), odds for the next eviction were available.
So, we placed a speculative bet, trying to guess who
might be 'up' and get sent home the following week.
It was a total guess so we staked just £20 on
Rebecca Shiner at 15/8 to become the
next evictee. We fully expected to lose because such
bets are a huge gamble, but we won nearly £40
plus our stake back when Bex was subsequently up-against
Darnell Swallow and Mo, and got evicted the following
Friday night. Result:
£38 profit.
Friday, 11th July 2008 (Day 37)
We'd just written a positive article in our news section
about Dale's chances of winning, so it would have been
mad not to back him at his current odds. Therefore,
we put £40 on Dale Howard becoming
the Overall Winner of Big Brother 9 at odds of 10/1.
We stood to make a profit of £400 (plus our stake
back), but we lost £40 in the end due to Dale's
efforts to get himself put up for nomination. The idiot! Result:
£40 loss.
Wednesday, 9th July 2008 (Day 35)
The fourth-round nominees had been announced the day
before, and by the Wednesday lunchtime it was clear
that the public wanted Mario out. So, we staked £1000
on Mario Marconi to go at the lowish
odds of 1/3, and returned over £1300 when he was
evicted with 77% of the vote at the 4th Eviction. Result:
£333 profit.
Friday, 27th June 2008 (Day 23)
The bookies made Darnell second-favourite to win after
his arguably admiral involvement in the Fight Night
II shenanigans. So, we staked our second £25 Free
Bet (we got one from Paddy Power and another one from
Blue Square) on Darnell Swallow to
Win Big Brother 9 at the odds of 5/1. If the albino
songwriter had gone all the way we'd have made £125
(5 x the amount staked). Ultimately, though, Darnell
didn't win the series but we lost nothing because it
was a Free Bet. Result:
Neither a profit nor a loss.
Tuesday, 24th June 2008 (Day 20)
We used our Free £25 Bet to back Luke
Marsden to Win, just in case his odds plummeted
if his popularity started rising. So, we staked £25
at odds of 4/1 (£4 profit for every £1 staked),
and would have made a profit of £100 if the bet
had come right. However, we lost our stake when Luke
was evicted at the 7th Eviction on Day 58, but we hadn't
risked a penny because the bet was Free from one of
the bookies listed in our Big Brother 11 Betting section. Result:
Neither a profit nor a loss.
2nd Bet: For our second bet of the day, we waited
until the evening on the day that the nominees for the
2nd Eviction were announced, and backed Sylvia
Barrie to go next. To be honest, it was a complete
no-brainer and there was no reason to believe that the
Polls, which had Sylvia at over 80% against Mo, would
be wrong. Indeed, Sylvia left with over 90% in the public
vote on the Friday night, so our £500 stake was
returned along with a profit of £71 (the early
odds were a low 1/7, but eventually drifted to 1/33). Result:
£71 profit.
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Friday, 20th June 2008 (Day 16)
Feedback from fans hinted that Kat was the most popular
housemate, and a Poll on our Home page confirmed it.
So, we backed Kathreya Kasisopa to
Win Big Brother 9 with a £40 stake at odds of
2/1. The odds were quite low given that the series still
had 11 weeks to run, but we stood to return £120
if Kat had gone all the way. Unfortunately, despite
the fact that Kat was the favourite to win most of the
way through the series, we lost our stake when she was
evicted at the Double Eviction in the final week of
the show. Result: £40
loss.
Monday, 9th June 2008 (Day 5)
After the four 'fakers' failed the wedding task
and were put up for eviction, we staked £80 at
4/7 (£4 profit for every £7 staked) on Stephanie
McMichael getting evicted. Early feedback said
that the public were blaming her for the failure, however
as the 1st Eviction approached it looked like Mario
might be going due to a turnaround in public opinion.
Steph did get evicted though, so we were okay in the
end and won the bet. Phew! Result:
£46 profit.
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