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Opinion Polls - Which Two Will Go?

There's around 24 hours to go now, until the 4th and the 5th evictee will leave the Big Brother House. But who is it likely to be?

We've taken a look at the polls this afternoon to try and work it out.

Obviously, it's a bit of a tricky one to call this week, as fans are in the unique situation of having more than one eviction on the same night to vote for. When this usually happens (i.e. on the Final Night) we are voting for who we want to win, not boot out.

However, how it will work on Friday night, is that at around 8.35pm the person that has received the most votes, or the most disliked by the public if you want to look at it that way, will be revealed and then kicked-out as the 4th evictee during the 10pm show.

Voting will then continue and the 'second least popular' housemate will leave during the 11.15pm show.

Looking at the polls, Channel 4's breakfast TV show RI:SE had the following result this morning (Thursday), with the percentage figure indicating how many people want rid-of the relevant contestant:

Cam - 29%
Fed - 37%
Jon - 24%

It wasn't exactly conclusive though, as things were fairly close between all three really. Also, any such poll in these circumstances is only going to indicate who the 4th evictee is likely to be.

A major UK portal showed even closer figures in respect of the potential 5th evictee, with:

Cam - 29%
Fed - 47%
Jon - 24%

So, we looked at another busy Big Brother fansite and found the following figures, which told a completely different story, presumably due to site-specific bias (i.e. more fans who go to that site dislike Cam than is the general public opinion):

Cam - 54%
Fed - 36%
Jon - 10%

However our own Poll, featured on the Home page of the Big Brother Online site, seeks to find out who the 4th and 5th evictees will be in one go.

With the 'least liked/ most hated' name appearing first and the name in brackets representing which housemate fans would choose as the 5th evictee, our poll currently (Thursday pm) reads:

Cam (+ Fed) - 24%
Cam (+Jon) - 6%
Fed (+ Cam) - 37%
Fed (+ Jon) - 19%
Jon (+ Cam) - 5%
Jon (+ Fed) - 8%

From that, it looks like Fed and Cam are set to go, but which one will go first? Well, using a top-secret algorithm devised by erm, 'world renowned mathematicians' or something (we just made it up!), we've managed to analyse our own figures and came up with this:

Cam - 33%
Fed - 50%
Jon - 17%

Which, if anywhere near accurate, would lead you to believe that Fed will go first on Friday night, followed by Cameron. And that's exactly what we've bet on, as you can see if you check-out our dedicated betting section.

It remains to be seen whether we are right, but if you fancy trying to beat the bookies and make yourself a few quid in the process, why not head over to our Betting Zone section to check-out the latest odds and find out how you can get a FREE £10 bet?

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